Campaigning in the Victorian seat of Corangamite, which the ALP's Darren Cheeseman holds by only 0.3 per cent, Mr Shorten told students the government could win the election.
"Bookmakers have us not as the favourite in a two horse-race," Mr Shorten said at a Geelong school.
"Bookmakers can be wrong. It's four weeks to go.
"We can win. That's for sure."
When asked if Labor could retain Corangamite, Mr Shorten qualified his response by saying the ALP would prevail in the seat if the election was fought on education policy.
"Corangamite is an electorate which has got a great future," Mr Shorten said.
"If this is an election that is fought on education policies, Darren Cheeseman will remain the member for Corangamite."
Mr Cheeseman said he would have to work hard to show voters how Labor was addressing their concerns.
"This going to be a very close contest here. Every single vote will count," Mr Cheeseman said.
"If we campaign hard ... I think we've got every chance of winning this seat again."
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